Perfect time to leave the keys

[seagate]

Being without power is the worst part after the storm been thru a lot of them Andrew included but the gas wasn't 4 bucks a gallon  every time the wind blows above 30mph we are with out power and when the storms come we are out for about a month.If you are where this storm is going Please get some place safe.Take care and god bless

[gran398]

Thanks!

We're looking better guys...just moved the track further east....not out of the woods yet....but feeling better.

[Capt. Bob]

been thru a lot of them Andrew included

Were you in Pompano at the time.

Here's where you didn't want to be.

A National Weather Service-Miami Radar image recorded on 24 August 1992 at 4:35 EDT [08:35 UTC] superimposed on a street map by the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA indicates the most powerful winds within the northern eyewall (conditions greater than 48 dBZ) made landfall between SW 152 St. (Coral Reef Drive) and SW 184 St. (Eureka Drive) in the Perrine/Cutler Ridge area.

Waypoint #1 during that sad year.
15700 SW 109 Ct.

[seagate]

I was little further south back then in Oakland park but still safe but we went down and helped i work in medical field, cutler ridge was wiped out no houses or trees very strange.Hope I never see that again.Storms suck when they come where you are some times you pay to live in paradise.My company sends some of use out when ever something like this happens storms flooding fires whatever to help our team get everything running.

[seabob4]

Scott, CJ,
Looks like you boys are in for some chit in a couple days...

Stay safe, buenos suerte!

[John Jones]

Yep, you guys nail everything down.  We will be thinking about you.

My in-laws are in S. Jersey near Cape May.  Looks like Pops needs to haul out his boat and head for PA.

[gran398]

Thanks guys. The models show it tracking east....but its 700 miles wide. At the very least I'm expecting sustained at 50 to 60. So gonna go ahead and get tightened down, take no chances.

I keep remembering Hugo...it was supposed to landfall here in Wilmington....4 hours before it was to hit, it veered hard left, slammed Charleston, then tore up Charlotte.

Models are great.. but you never know.

[pete]

be safe everyone

[MarshMarlowe196]

Thanks guys. The models show it tracking east....but its 700 miles wide. At the very least I'm expecting sustained at 50 to 60. So gonna go ahead and get tightened down, take no chances.

I keep remembering Hugo...it was supposed to landfall here in Wilmington....4 hours before it was to hit, it veered hard left, slammed Charleston, then tore up Charlotte.

Models are great.. but you never know.

Yeah I was here for Hugo... It was supposed to make a "dog leg turn" (I'll never forget that meteorological term) and hit N.C., but well, you know the story.  We stayed here for it, lived in Goose Creek at the time which was one of the hardest hit areas... At one point we thought the roof of the house was coming off and ran across the street during the eye to take refuge with a neighbor to ride out the rest of the storm.  Turns out it was the large oak tree in the back yard that had fallen on the roof and was bouncing around in the wind.  They don't make houses like they used to...

But to the point, the Hurricane models in 1989 weren't nearly as accurate as they are today, so the projected tracks should be 300 miles more or less correct ...  

[John Jones]

But to the point, the Hurricane models in 1989 weren't nearly as accurate as they are today, so the projected tracks should be 300 miles more or less correct ...  

One of the prognosticators said this morning they are +/- 200 NM now.  

[gran398]

Absolutely Jess, the models are much more accurate now. Hugo hit in '89. A very strong Cat 3, bordering 4 when it hit you folks, 22 years ago.

In recent times, Katrina's predicted track was correct, all models were in agreement. The federal government had a five day window to get supplies/support/staging areas near there. They failed miserably.

This one...I don't know. Don't like the size of it. JJ informs(and thanks) the predicted track at this point is plus or minus 200 nm.

Close enough to engage the pucker factor here. All I can think of is Hugo failing to take that predicted "dog-leg" offshore turn as Jessie noted. And want to go on record now and say that Cape Fear (Southport) and the Cape Fear River have  been an absolute hurricane magnet in the past. Although NONE of the models predict eye landfall here... Irene can go her own way. Best case...it passes 100 miles plus offshore of us...can easily knock out power here, prepared for that.

Watching the Weather Channel. Hurricanes are big biz for them. 24 hour full coverage....wonder what a 30 second spot on the Weather Channel brings tomorrow?

TWC in 'cane season excels at selling fear/nail biting/ratings.

Betcha Home Depot and Slowe's are slugging it out tonight for ad placement...pretty damn sad.

[Capt. Bob]

The federal government had a five day window to get supplies/support/staging areas near there. They failed miserably.

The State of Louisiana was all over it though.

[slvrlng]

If..... I will say it again, If........ any of you guys stay near the shore with this thing coming up. I think I can say this for all of us. Our prayers are with you! Please think it through and make the right decision. If you haven't checked the bouys this is the link to the one 150NM off Canveral.
Look at the wave heights!  At the time I am posting this it is recording 29.2 ft and growing! The wind is at 50 knots and increasing.

Just be careful and if any of you need anything after it blows through call me and I will load the truck and trailer up and head that way.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41010

[gran398]

Guys, Lewis called this afternoon, and said "Whatever you need...just tell me. I'll load the truck...and I'm heading over."

Lew...thank you. And know you would do it. But have been working hard here at the homestead to be prepared.

Lewis is our new Social Director....and deservedly so. He cares about our well-being. Not just mine in this difficult time...yours too when the time comes. Lew...thanks...and a thumbs up on the past, present, and future.

Presently....we're ready...we have given it our best shot...and the calls/pm's from you all... thanks so much.

Hang loose...Reckon a generator can charge a laptop?  Will report best possible.

Thanks guys.

[John Jones]

remember that sometimes a text message will go through when a voice call will not.
Be safe Scott.